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Articles by Adam Wright

Adam has been a professional meteorologist and surf forecaster since 1999 and has worked for many of the popular surf sites including Transworld SURF, Surfline, Wavewatch, and FuelTV. Currently he is the Chief Forecaster for Solspot.com and is responsible for letting us know when we should ditch the computers for either a quick session or epic trip.

Happy Halloween!

Happy Halloween!

Thereeee baaaack! The annual Blackies Halloween surf/costume contest returns…and with warm water and fun waves the gang upped the costumes a notch this year!

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Chunky WNW-NW swell and crappy weather hit on Saturday…but conditions clean up fast on Sunday

Chunky WNW-NW swell and crappy weather hit on Saturday…but conditions clean up fast on Sunday

A decent sized storm is on its way out of the Gulf of Alaska, heading toward the West Coast. It will be this storm, and a couple of cold fronts that are rushing out ahead of the main system, that will bring a combo of increasing onshore wind, some rain/drizzle, as well as a lumpy WNW-NW swell. This new energy will arrive as we move through Saturday and eventually peak overnight into Sunday. The good news is that the storm is forecast to be pretty short, which means there is the potential for some cleanup as we move into Sunday (definitely by Monday)…so we may actually get to ride some of this stormswell, with cleaner conditions, before it drops out of the swell mix. The South Pacific continues to shuffle up a series of small S-SW pulses for the next several days, but long-range forecasts have it shutting down a bit as we move through the weekend. Closer to home we just had newly formed TS Vance pull together down by Southern Mainland Mexico…and if things go well he could reach our swell window while strengthening into a hurricane. Any potential swell from Vance is far from set in stone…but dang it would be nice to have some tropical energy in the water crossing up some of the new NPAC swell.

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Weather starts to feel a bit more like Fall on Friday…still a few rideable waves sticking around for the morning

Weather starts to feel a bit more like Fall on Friday…still a few rideable waves sticking around for the morning

Halloween will continue to see some rideable waves as we move through the morning but an approaching cold front will drive in a little more onshore wind, a little drizzle and some areas of patchy fog. Overall the morning conditions will still be manageable, but it doesn’t look like they will stay that way.

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Little bit of overlapping combo swell, clean conditions, and a mellow tide swing, all work together to keep Thursday rideable

Little bit of overlapping combo swell, clean conditions, and a mellow tide swing, all work together to keep Thursday rideable

Clean conditions and a mostly steady swell mix will help to keep Thursday in small but playful surf. The tides and the new slowly filling in WNW swell may struggle at the more sensitive spots a bit in the morning but winds look manageable enough that you may be able to get out in the afternoon too.

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Playful run of fall S-SW swells and one last chance at some local tropical activity

Playful run of fall S-SW swells and one last chance at some local tropical activity

Looks like we are slowly slipping into the Fall/Winter season, and the SPAC is definitely showing signs of fatigue after blasting out swell after swell all summer long. For the next several days we will see a relatively small, but playful mix of S-SW swells that will help keep rideable waves showing at most of the average spots as well as a few bigger, faster waves at the well exposed regions. The one wild card we do have in the deck is a newly developing tropical system that is starting to show some signs of becoming a more organized tropical storm sometime in the next couple of days. While it won’t be a great swell producer, thanks to its positioning and probable track, it does look like it could help add some size to some of the nearby regions. Long-range charts are looking a lot more mellow, but there is still enough activity that we will see some smallish, but playful, Southern Hemi swells keeping things from going totally flat over the next couple of weeks.

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Wednesday will be a little smaller, but still clean, rideable, and even a little playful at the standouts

Wednesday will be a little smaller, but still clean, rideable, and even a little playful at the standouts

Wednesday will be another rideable surf day, but wave heights will be down a touch from the day before and we can expect both power and consistency to back down as well. Conditions look good for the morning and the tides are decent then as well. We will also see some additional WNW-NW swell arriving in the afternoon, but it doesn’t look like it will fill in fast enough to help prop wave heights up during the AM session.

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Clean conditions and playful sizes stick around for the work week, lumpy windswell and stormier weather lining up for the weekend

Clean conditions and playful sizes stick around for the work week, lumpy windswell and stormier weather lining up for the weekend

The current shot of WNW-NW swell will slowly fade as we move through the next couple of days but it will be mixing with a blend of smaller NW energy and some background S-SSW swell that will help to keep some playful waves showing for most of the work week. A new cold front is forecast to push down the West Coast starting Friday night and has the potential to add in some sloppy windswell and junky weather over the upcoming weekend. Long-range charts continue to show some decent, but not outstanding activity in the North Pacific, and a more zonal track in the South Pacific…finally it looks like the tropics, (mostly because it hates me), will get at least one more shot at producing another named storm just before the ‘official’ tropical season ends.

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WNW-NW swell begins to back off on Monday but conditions stay clean and the tides get a little more balanced out

WNW-NW swell begins to back off on Monday but conditions stay clean and the tides get a little more balanced out

Tuesday will be a fun surf day…nothing all that big…but we will see a playful mix of swells, clean morning conditions, and more balanced morning tide.

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WNW-NW swell begins to back off on Monday but conditions stay clean and the tides get a little more balanced out

WNW-NW swell begins to back off on Monday but conditions stay clean and the tides get a little more balanced out

Our shot of WNW-NW swell is peaking here Sunday night and will be slowly dropping as we move through Monday. The good news is that our surf looks pretty fun for the well exposed spots, the morning tide is lower, the winds are mostly offshore, and there will still be enough energy in the water that things will stay pretty workable through the first part of the day.

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New WNW-NW swell moves in fast on Sunday

New WNW-NW swell moves in fast on Sunday

Look for wave heights to build in quickly at the WNW-NW facing beaches on Sunday. A new round of energy starts to arrive later tonight and will fill in even more as we move through the day. Conditions look decent…could end up being a pretty fun surf day.

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