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Articles by Adam Wright

Adam has been a professional meteorologist and surf forecaster since 1999 and has worked for many of the popular surf sites including Transworld SURF, Surfline, Wavewatch, and FuelTV. Currently he is the Chief Forecaster for Solspot.com and is responsible for letting us know when we should ditch the computers for either a quick session or epic trip.

More tropical surf pushes through on Saturday

More tropical surf pushes through on Saturday

Lots of waves on tap this weekend and plenty of good surf for the better set up spots along with some big slabby closeouts for others. The tropical energy from Lowell and Karina will be doing most of the work generating waves, though we will also have some smaller, but still surf producing swells moving up from the South Pacific at the same time. Winds and weather look good…clean morning conditions and just some moderate onshore breezes in the afternoon.

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Hurricane Alert – Lowell spends the day beefing up

Hurricane Alert – Lowell spends the day beefing up

Lowell decided he wasn’t quite satisfied being just a ‘tropical storm’ so late last night he cranked up his intensity and became a good-sized CAT-1 Hurricane.

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The long-range forecast turns things up to 11

The long-range forecast turns things up to 11

We have lots going over the next week and even more lining up out the back. Right now Hurricane Lowell is sitting about 800 miles S-SSW of Southern California and is cranking out even more swell to go with energy we already have arriving from way back when (ok a day or two ago) he was just a large tropical storm. At the same time we will be seeing a couple of new pulses of S and SW swell moving in from the Southern Hemi, helping to add size to the S facing beaches and stack up some more energy at spots already getting a good dose of tropical swell. Things are looking even crazier next week, energy from Lowell will still be hanging around, and thanks to funky process called the Fujiwhara Effect we will likely get a shot of reinforcing energy from TS Karina…all of which will be loaded on top of more swell moving up from the South Pacific. If that wasn’t enough to get excited about the long-range tropical forecast is calling for yet another hurricane, possibly bigger (or stronger) than Lowell, to form and be in position to blast another SE-S swell into Socal by the end of next week. When you boil it down we have plenty of swell on tap for at least a week, and if things go well it will likely push right on into September.

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Tropical swell from Lowell continues to gain size while swell direction shifts a little more to the SSW

Tropical swell from Lowell continues to gain size while swell direction shifts a little more to the SSW

More tropical swell from now Hurricane Lowell will continue to arrive and build through the day on Friday. This tropical swell will steamroll most of the other energy we have in the water but the better S-SW facing spots will have other longer-period energy moving up from the South Pacific to join the party. Winds and weather look decent with mostly light/variable winds in the morning with a touch of texture in a few of the more exposed areas.

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Tropical swell builds in fast on Thursday…new waves will be showing in the morning but expect bigger surf by sundown

Tropical swell builds in fast on Thursday…new waves will be showing in the morning but expect bigger surf by sundown

Quickly building tropical swell from TS Lowell will arrive on Wednesday and roll over the smaller pulses we have arriving from the Southern Hemi. We can expect wave heights to start off decent size in the morning but continue to strengthen in both size and consistency at the S facing beaches as we move into the afternoon. Conditions will be mostly clean with a touch of texture in a few areas.

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SW swells continue to stack up in the South Pacific but the tropics look like they may rage over the next week

SW swells continue to stack up in the South Pacific but the tropics look like they may rage over the next week

We have all kinds of swell getting thrown around in the Central America/Mexico regions over the next week. There are a number of modest S and SW swells that are basically stacked up and ready to keep the whole region in playful, if somewhat inconsistent surf for the rest of the week and beyond. The really exciting stuff will be happening a lot closer to home…currently the EPAC tropics have two tropical storms (Karina and Lowell) that will be doing a good job pushing surf into the exposed spots of Baja…however later in the week it looks like we are going to get yet another tropical system forming up off the coast of Central/Southern Mainland Mexico. If this third system can form in the right place, and keep far enough off of land, we could be looking at bigger waves arriving as the storm slowly moves through the region.

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Winds stay a bit squirrelly on Wednesday but will still leave a few rideable pockets out there

Winds stay a bit squirrelly on Wednesday but will still leave a few rideable pockets out there

Mix of rideable/semi-rideable waves and somewhat funky conditions will stick around on Wednesday. There is still a bit of playful sized Southern Hemi and local windswells in the water but we also will continue to see some upper-level instability in the local weather that will cause some pockets of onshore texture to swirl up and hamper surf shape in some of our regions.

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TROPICAL ALERT – TS Lowell grinds his way toward Southern California

TROPICAL ALERT – TS Lowell grinds his way toward Southern California

Tropical Depression 12e strengthened overnight and is now a very large Tropical Storm Lowell. Lowell is well-positioned, tracking the right way, and will be sending the exposed areas of Southern California a good chunk of tropical swell later this week (and over the upcoming weekend).

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Little bit of love moving up from the South Pacific…but the tropics will make or break the surf later this week

Little bit of love moving up from the South Pacific…but the tropics will make or break the surf later this week

The S-SW swells continue to push up from the South Pacific as we move through the next week or so…none of them are particularly big or feisty, but they will put enough energy in the water that there will be some sort of rideable waves showing at the better exposed summer breaks. Really the big show is what is going to happen in the tropics over the next few days. Currently we have Tropical Depression 12e, (who will likely become Tropical Storm Lowell right as I finish posting this forecast…stupid tropics), that has formed already inside the Socal S-SSE swell window and is forecast to track N-NNW while strengthening over the next few days. If this storm stays on track we will likely get a nice boost of tropical swell arriving around the end of the week. That isn’t all we have going on either…long-range charts show another potential tropical system setting up closer to Mainland Mexico that could be yet another swell maker if it pulls together just right. Go tropics go!

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Funky weather moves in Tuesday morning but the swell mix hangs in there too

Funky weather moves in Tuesday morning but the swell mix hangs in there too

Look for the current swell mix to hold as we move into Tuesday, however thanks to a newly approaching upper-level low-pressure the weather won’t be quite as stable as it was over the weekend. Expect rideable waves at the better exposed beaches but be on the lookout for funky morning winds and even some pockets of drizzle for select areas (naturally I just washed my truck so the odds of drizzle just went way up)

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