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While you were at work Wednesday
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Saturday will be an ok surf day…the weather will continue to warm up and we will get a burst of local windswell and a moderate pulse of new WNW swell that will keep things rideable. The tide is pretty high right during the dawn patrol so you may want to take your time getting to the beach.
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Friday is looking like a decent surf day…the storm that was forecast to move into the area earlier this week is now expected to push in over the central coast, leaving Socal mostly alone. Instead we will see light-variable winds and clean conditions combine with a playful mix of swell that will leave most of our exposed beaches with rideable/fun surf.
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While there are still a few storm fronts forecast to push along the West Coast it looks like most of the bad stuff is going to be rerouted into Central California, leaving Socal with a building ridge of high-pressure that will set up a warming trend and a good chance at a few days of offshore winds. Unfortunately with the loss of those close-to-shore storms we will also see the surf back down as we move into the weekend, leaving us to work with some steeper angled NW energy and some leftover windswell. We get a couple of moderate pulses of new swell early next week, even some background SSW energy, but it looks like more playful/small size for the short-term. Long-range charts both in the North and South Pacific are showing some better looking storms forming up next week that have the potential to send a decent combo of WNW and SSW swell for early march, so keep those fingers crossed.
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The forecast charts we had been watching last week are actually pulling together about the way we expected…and already there have been a couple of storms pushing into the South Pacific that will be sending progressively bigger and more organized swells toward both Mainland Mexico and Central America. Long-range shows the storm action getting a little soft but you can feel that it is “gathering itself” rather than heading for some sort of shutdown. In the meantime we can expect a fun run of building SSW-SW energy as we head into next week and even a little more as we move into March.
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Thursday will have a brief window of semi-rideable shape on tap for the morning, but the mix of local windswell, leftover chop, and winds that switch offshore only briefly may not be enough to let the more exposed spots clean up very much and even the more protected breaks will feel raw and a bit jumbled up.
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Wednesday will be a poor surf day. We will have a lot more wave size thanks to increasing stormswell and short-period windswell being kicked out by our current storm, but the winds generating the waves will be right on top of it…so we can expect shape to be blown out almost everywhere in Socal.
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Tuesday will not be a very good surf day…there is a chance for a few rideable waves, even a short window of cleaner surf showing through the morning but the approaching cold front will eventually turn the winds onshore and hack up conditions as we move more into the afternoon.
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We get a new local storm, with a large lump of local storm/windswell and onshore winds, moving in on Tuesday, holding into Wednesday and then backing down through the end of the week. Unfortunately that isn’t the end of the weather…we will see a small window of dry conditions on Thursday morning but then more onshore wind and drizzle weather flows back in as we move into next weekend.
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While I know many of us already do…the California Historical Resources Commission agrees and will be pushing the nomination to the federal level.
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Monday, while chilly, foggy and even a little drizzly, looks like it will have a few fun waves showing at the best WNW-NW facing breaks as well as a few of the top combo spots. The winds in the morning continue to be variable to light offshore, but an approaching cold front will start to swing them onshore by the second half of the day.
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