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Articles by Adam Wright

Adam has been a professional meteorologist and surf forecaster since 1999 and has worked for many of the popular surf sites including Transworld SURF, Surfline, Wavewatch, and FuelTV. Currently he is the Chief Forecaster for Solspot.com and is responsible for letting us know when we should ditch the computers for either a quick session or epic trip.

Offshore winds, overlapping WNW-NW swells, and another fat mid-morning tide

Offshore winds, overlapping WNW-NW swells, and another fat mid-morning tide

Offshore winds and overlapping WNW-NW swells will keep things playful and clean on Tuesday. We will have to suffer through another big morning tide but the peak of the high is pushing back toward mid-morning, which will start to leave a little more of a window during the morning. Good news is that the winds are looking to settle back into more of a Santa Ana pattern, which should let us ride out the tide a bit better than our more normal winds.

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Blended WNW-NW energy and clean conditions will keep things rideable on Monday

Blended WNW-NW energy and clean conditions will keep things rideable on Monday

New WNW swell will mix with our current NPAC energy as well as some background S swell on Monday. It won’t be the most ideal morning thanks mostly to yet another fat morning tide that peaks around 9am…but the winds and weather should hold together long enough to let things get more playful as we move toward the middle of the day.

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Saturday will see wave heights stabilize…but plan on yet another morning high tide to slow things down

Saturday will see wave heights stabilize…but plan on yet another morning high tide to slow things down

The waves will weaken slightly as we head into the weekend but thanks to some additional smaller WNW-NW swells, as well as some small background Southern Hemi energy, we will continue to see some playful waves at the well exposed spots. Weather will improve through the weekend as well…look for clean conditions in the morning and just moderate onshore flow in the afternoon.

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Semi-stormy W-NW swell mix keeps things rideable through the weekend…fun but smaller surf setting up for Thanksgiving week

Semi-stormy W-NW swell mix keeps things rideable through the weekend…fun but smaller surf setting up for Thanksgiving week

We just got a nice shot of W swell that moved in fast Wednesday night and peaked through Thursday…unfortunately this swell will be gradually dropping and changing its characteristics (swell direction and periods) as we move through the weekend. On top of the backing off energy we will also struggle with the weather for a couple of days as well as a few surf-killing morning high tides. The good news is that next week looks cleaner with modest offshore flow starting to smooth things out and warm up our beach weather…the swell mix doesn’t look nearly as big as what we currently have in the water but we should still see enough energy to enjoy the improving conditions (and the extra holiday time to surf). Long-range looks a little sparse right now, but there are some inklings on the charts that indicate that we may see the NPAC turn back on as we move into next week. Keep your fingers crossed that we get some better storm activity developing in time to help us work off the extra turkey.

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Swell mix shifts around while the tide tries to bury another morning session

Swell mix shifts around while the tide tries to bury another morning session

Our surf, while still staying pretty rideable, will downshift a bit on Friday as our W swell shifts from a more power medium-period pulse to short-period WNW-NW windswell. The change in swell direction and the shorter swell-periods will cause wave heights to weaken at the more average spots, but will still leave enough playful sizes at the standouts.

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W swell peaks through Thursday morning…conditions look clean but tides will still be a bit swampy

W swell peaks through Thursday morning…conditions look clean but tides will still be a bit swampy

Thursday will start off with bigger surf thanks to a newly peaking W swell and other various background swells. We will still have a high tide peaking right in the middle of the morning, but we should also have enough swell power in the water than many spots should be able to push through the tide pretty quickly as it starts to back down. Looks like clean conditions for the morning with a slight chance of rain possible later in the day.

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A little run of SW swell keeps the region rideable for a few days

A little run of SW swell keeps the region rideable for a few days

Not a lot going on down in the Mainland Mexico/Central America regions right now. We have been seeing a blend of low-grade storms moving through the South Pacific swell window over the last couple of weeks and only marginal swell has been pushed up our direction. The good news is that while we are getting ever closer to the smaller winter season, we still managed to scrape up enough fetch to get a little SW pulse that will fill in over the next couple of days and peak as we head into the later parts of the week. It won’t be big, but it will at least have enough energy to keep us in the water at the top spots.

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Another tide swamped morning on Wednesday but new fast building W swell fills in as we head toward the 2nd half of the day

Another tide swamped morning on Wednesday but new fast building W swell fills in as we head toward the 2nd half of the day

Wednesday will start off with some slower surf and semi-funky weather conditions. Mostly we will be dealing with some pockets of fog as well as some weak areas of drizzle near Point Conception. We will have a new, stronger W swell moving in through the day but the majority of the energy will be arriving late in the afternoon and peaking overnight into Thursday.

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Close proximity storms boost W swell as we move through the middle of the week more WNW-NW energy lining up out the back

Close proximity storms boost W swell as we move through the middle of the week more WNW-NW energy lining up out the back

The NPAC storm track continued to spin up a few new storms over the weekend, in particular it has a decent sized mid-latitude system hanging a few hundred miles off the West Coast that will be in position to send a decent sized shot of W-WNW swell for later Wednesday into early Thursday. This swell will be followed closely by a number of faster moving storms that track across the higher latitudes, but still manage to maintain some fetch in Socal’s swell window. These following systems will send in some ok sized, but shorter period WNW-NW swells that will keep waves steady into the weekend and likely into early next week as well. Weather and winds will take a little hit as our first storm tries to drag a cold front over the area on Friday and as we head into the weekend, but if things stay on track we will see the return of some offshore winds as we move into Monday-Tuesday of next week.

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WNW swell fades fast on Tuesday while high tide works to shut down the morning session

WNW swell fades fast on Tuesday while high tide works to shut down the morning session

Tuesday ends up being a bit of a transition day. The swell we had peak on Monday will be winding down while some smaller leftover pulses from weaker storms try to keep our surf from totally dropping out. Looks like weather and conditions will continue to be nice in the morning, but with the smaller swell the tides will play an important role in wave count, quality, and shape.

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