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Articles by Adam Wright

Adam has been a professional meteorologist and surf forecaster since 1999 and has worked for many of the popular surf sites including Transworld SURF, Surfline, Wavewatch, and FuelTV. Currently he is the Chief Forecaster for Solspot.com and is responsible for letting us know when we should ditch the computers for either a quick session or epic trip.

Offshore winds, peaking SSW swell mixing with smaller combo energy, and a full swampthing morning tide

Offshore winds, peaking SSW swell mixing with smaller combo energy, and a full swampthing morning tide

We will have a nice couple of days of surf on tap for the weekend. The new SSW swell will peak as we move into Saturday and hold through the day. Conditions will be clean and warm along the coast thanks to a blend of morning offshore winds and mild Santa Ana conditions.

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Playful SSW swell peaks over the weekend while more S-SW swell, tropical energy, and some NPAC storms line up out the back

Playful SSW swell peaks over the weekend while more S-SW swell, tropical energy, and some NPAC storms line up out the back

Our new SSW swell has been slowly building up through the day on Thursday and will continue to increase as we move through Friday, eventually peaking Friday night into Saturday morning. This energy will start to weaken as we move into early next week, but smaller reinforcing pulses of S-SW energy will keep it from dropping too fast. The tropics are heating back up, with newly formed Tropical Storm Simon spinning SSE of Cabo, threatening to move into our swell window in the next couple of days. The NPAC is starting to get into the action as well…the short-range charts aren’t that impressive, but the long-range ones are showing a pretty solid storm developing late this weekend, possibly setting up some stronger WNW-NW swell as we move toward the middle of October. Make sure to read the full long-range forecast to get the size and timing of these newly developing swell-makers.

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SSW swell continues to build while morning winds stay offshore

SSW swell continues to build while morning winds stay offshore

Look for good surf and good surf conditions to continue on Friday. Our new SSW-SW swell has been building throughout the day here on Thursday and will continue to strengthen as we move through Friday. Look for bigger surf hitting the SSW facing beaches and clean offshore conditions setting up for the morning.

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Building SSW-SW swell and morning Santa Ana winds…Thursday is looking fun

Building SSW-SW swell and morning Santa Ana winds…Thursday is looking fun

Thursday will be a pretty good surf day. We will have a mix of building SSW-SW swells, some leftover combo energy helping to improve shape, and steady morning offshore winds. The tides are still a little funky, staying on the high side for most of the morning, but the winds and conditions will open up the surf window for at least a couple of extra hours.

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Solid late season SSW-SW swell peaks through the week with a couple more playful swells setting up out the back

Solid late season SSW-SW swell peaks through the week with a couple more playful swells setting up out the back

New long-period SSW-SW swell starts to move in fast on Wednesday, building through the day and eventually peaking late Thursday into Friday morning before very slowly backing off as we move into next week. This is a pretty decent sized pulse of swell that we have rolling in over the next few days, particularly since we are starting to move deeper into the Fall season. Long-range forecast charts aren’t looking quite as good as they did last week, however there are still a couple of storms moving through our swell window that will help tack on some smaller, more playful sized swells onto the tail end of our bigger pulse. The tropics are threatening to spin up another depression near Southern Mexico that may end up becoming our next tropical storm later this week…not sure how much of a wave maker it may end up turning into, but we have plenty of Southern Hemi swell to worry about at this point, so any extra swell will just be frosting on an already good-sized surf cake.

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Slowly building SSW-SW swells help to add size on Wednesday but our tides keeps the shape on the soft side

Slowly building SSW-SW swells help to add size on Wednesday but our tides keeps the shape on the soft side

Wave heights at the SSW-SW facing spots and excellent combo breaks will slowly build on Wednesday. We already have one new swell in the water and another that is lined up to fill in a bit more as we move through the day. Conditions look clean in the morning …though the tide will keep the shape a little slow at the more sensitive spots.

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New SSW-SW swells begin to fill in midweek and strengthen over the weekend

New SSW-SW swells begin to fill in midweek and strengthen over the weekend

We will see a few small but playful waves as we move through the next couple days thanks to some leftover windswell and minor tropical energy from (former) Hurricane Rachel. New long-period SW swell will start to show later Tuesday afternoon and then continue to slowly build as we head through the later parts of the week. That isn’t the only swell we have on the way though…a second, bigger and better aimed SSW-SW pulse will be close behind the midweek swell and will have larger more consistent surf mixing in as we head into the upcoming weekend. Further out we continue to see some decent, but not all that impressive activity in the South Pacific as well as a some increasing storm intensity in the North Pacific storm track. Right now it looks like the biggest swell currently in the water will be arriving over this weekend, but with all of the new storms forming in the NPAC, the SPAC, and the Tropics it wouldn’t surprise me to see some better swells forming up as we move further into October.

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Small but playful blend of combo energy shows on Tuesday

Small but playful blend of combo energy shows on Tuesday

Tuesday will see some small but playful surf along with fairly clean morning conditions. Unfortunately there isn’t all that much swell in the water, which will make it more sensitive to both the tides and our coastal winds. Expect a few fun pockets in the morning but plan on the tide swamping things out as we move toward the middle of the day.

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Little boost in tropical S-SSE swell from Rachel mixes with weekend leftovers and cleaner conditions

Little boost in tropical S-SSE swell from Rachel mixes with weekend leftovers and cleaner conditions

Monday’s surf looks like it could be a bit more fun than it probably would have been if Hurricane Rachel didn’t pull together over the last couple of days. Instead of just fading windswell we will see some new tropical swell moving in and mixing with the weekend leftovers. It won’t be huge, but the mix of swell directions, cleaner morning conditions, and decent tides will offer up a few playful little peaks at the exposed spots.

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Winds still a little squirrelly on Sunday but it does clean up for the morning

Winds still a little squirrelly on Sunday but it does clean up for the morning

Sunday will see cleaner conditions but slightly less swell as the dominant WNW-NW windswell begins to back down. The morning looks fairly decent thanks to the lighter winds and the fact that we get slotted into a good part of the tide swing. Expect mostly smaller waves but with a few playful peaks at the standout breaks.

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