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Articles by Adam Wright

Adam has been a professional meteorologist and surf forecaster since 1999 and has worked for many of the popular surf sites including Transworld SURF, Surfline, Wavewatch, and FuelTV. Currently he is the Chief Forecaster for Solspot.com and is responsible for letting us know when we should ditch the computers for either a quick session or epic trip.

Clean conditions and small surf on tap for a few days…bigger NPAC storm forming out the back

Clean conditions and small surf on tap for a few days…bigger NPAC storm forming out the back

Not a ton of swell on tap for this week…unfortunately we are sort of stuck in the classic fall/winter catch-22, where we need high-pressure to set up clean conditions and nice beach weather, but the same ridge of pressure blocks out all of our storm activity. After the fast moving storm this weekend the high-pressure is locking down this side of the North Pacific, so while we are going to see a few days of really nice winds and beach weather we aren’t going to have much surf to go along with it. The good news is that a much stronger set of storms are forecast to develop near the Aleutian Islands over the next several days, if these stay on track there is some decent potential for larger NW swell setting up for next week. In the meantime we are going to be working with mostly small leftover NPAC energy, some very weak S-SW swells, and just a touch of minor tropical swell (a last gift from our very active tropical season) that will help at least keep things rideable while we push through several days of offshore winds and sunny skies.

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Santa Ana winds help to keep the fading swell mix rideable, but watch out for the morning high tide

Santa Ana winds help to keep the fading swell mix rideable, but watch out for the morning high tide

Santa Ana winds will mix with a mostly small blend of swell on Tuesday, leaving us with rideable, clean, but somewhat gutless waves. Early morning high tides will continue to be an issue for many spots but the offshore flow should help to keep conditions clean enough to let the tide drop to a more workable level through midday.

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Fading stormswell, offshore winds, and a few playful leftovers at the standouts

Fading stormswell, offshore winds, and a few playful leftovers at the standouts

Monday will be a much cleaner surf day…winds will be offshore through most of the morning and while air temps start chilly it will warm up as we move through lunchtime. Surfwise we will see some smaller waves as weekend’s swell continues to drop…fortunately enough energy will still be on tap to keep things playful at the better exposed spots.

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Weather still a bit unstable on Sunday but bigger storm swell on tap for the morning

Weather still a bit unstable on Sunday but bigger storm swell on tap for the morning

The cold front/storm is forecast to be on the way out by Sunday morning, leaving behind some N-NW clearing winds that usually swing in on the backside of the passing low-pressure. Sunday looks like it will have some pockets of cleaner conditions as winds shift more northerly and even lighten up in a few spots. Between the cleaner conditions and still active swell mix it looks like a few areas could have some fun ones as we start the day.

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Stormy weather and building swell move in on Saturday

Stormy weather and building swell move in on Saturday

A fast approaching cold front will make for interesting, but not particularly good, weather and conditions for the weekend. We can expect a building lump of W-NW stormswell moving in along with the weather, but onshore winds look to be an issue during the biggest part of the swell. At this point we can expect sloppy conditions for most of Saturday.

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Happy Halloween!

Happy Halloween!

Thereeee baaaack! The annual Blackies Halloween surf/costume contest returns…and with warm water and fun waves the gang upped the costumes a notch this year!

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Chunky WNW-NW swell and crappy weather hit on Saturday…but conditions clean up fast on Sunday

Chunky WNW-NW swell and crappy weather hit on Saturday…but conditions clean up fast on Sunday

A decent sized storm is on its way out of the Gulf of Alaska, heading toward the West Coast. It will be this storm, and a couple of cold fronts that are rushing out ahead of the main system, that will bring a combo of increasing onshore wind, some rain/drizzle, as well as a lumpy WNW-NW swell. This new energy will arrive as we move through Saturday and eventually peak overnight into Sunday. The good news is that the storm is forecast to be pretty short, which means there is the potential for some cleanup as we move into Sunday (definitely by Monday)…so we may actually get to ride some of this stormswell, with cleaner conditions, before it drops out of the swell mix. The South Pacific continues to shuffle up a series of small S-SW pulses for the next several days, but long-range forecasts have it shutting down a bit as we move through the weekend. Closer to home we just had newly formed TS Vance pull together down by Southern Mainland Mexico…and if things go well he could reach our swell window while strengthening into a hurricane. Any potential swell from Vance is far from set in stone…but dang it would be nice to have some tropical energy in the water crossing up some of the new NPAC swell.

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Weather starts to feel a bit more like Fall on Friday…still a few rideable waves sticking around for the morning

Weather starts to feel a bit more like Fall on Friday…still a few rideable waves sticking around for the morning

Halloween will continue to see some rideable waves as we move through the morning but an approaching cold front will drive in a little more onshore wind, a little drizzle and some areas of patchy fog. Overall the morning conditions will still be manageable, but it doesn’t look like they will stay that way.

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Little bit of overlapping combo swell, clean conditions, and a mellow tide swing, all work together to keep Thursday rideable

Little bit of overlapping combo swell, clean conditions, and a mellow tide swing, all work together to keep Thursday rideable

Clean conditions and a mostly steady swell mix will help to keep Thursday in small but playful surf. The tides and the new slowly filling in WNW swell may struggle at the more sensitive spots a bit in the morning but winds look manageable enough that you may be able to get out in the afternoon too.

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Playful run of fall S-SW swells and one last chance at some local tropical activity

Playful run of fall S-SW swells and one last chance at some local tropical activity

Looks like we are slowly slipping into the Fall/Winter season, and the SPAC is definitely showing signs of fatigue after blasting out swell after swell all summer long. For the next several days we will see a relatively small, but playful mix of S-SW swells that will help keep rideable waves showing at most of the average spots as well as a few bigger, faster waves at the well exposed regions. The one wild card we do have in the deck is a newly developing tropical system that is starting to show some signs of becoming a more organized tropical storm sometime in the next couple of days. While it won’t be a great swell producer, thanks to its positioning and probable track, it does look like it could help add some size to some of the nearby regions. Long-range charts are looking a lot more mellow, but there is still enough activity that we will see some smallish, but playful, Southern Hemi swells keeping things from going totally flat over the next couple of weeks.

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