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Articles by Adam Wright

Adam has been a professional meteorologist and surf forecaster since 1999 and has worked for many of the popular surf sites including Transworld SURF, Surfline, Wavewatch, and FuelTV. Currently he is the Chief Forecaster for Solspot.com and is responsible for letting us know when we should ditch the computers for either a quick session or epic trip.

Wave heights drop a bit on Tuesday but enough energy sticks around to keep us surfing

Wave heights drop a bit on Tuesday but enough energy sticks around to keep us surfing

Tuesday will see fading surf as the current WNW-NW swell begins to back down and the leaves us with smaller, but still surfable mix of leftover North Pacific and Southern Hemi swells. Looks a little foggy and cloudy in the morning as well but winds will stay light enough to keep conditions clean.

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Hey Look…I found the ON switch for the North Pacific!

Hey Look…I found the ON switch for the North Pacific!

There is something profoundly satisfying about seeing a decent switchover in the seasons…I know that for Socal it usually doesn’t mean much for our land-based weather, but from a surf standpoint it means a pretty seamless transition from the summer Southern Hemi swells and tropical storms to a progressively more intense North Pacific. After the last few years of sub-par fall and early winter seasons we are finally starting the season off right. We just had a nice sized shot of WNW-NW swell that came up fast late Sunday and was holding through the day here on Monday. This swell will take its sweet time backing down too…instead of totally dropping out it looks like there will be enough energy lingering in the outer waters to keep some workable NW energy sticking around for a couple of days. That isn’t all we have going either…the long range charts are showing a number of new North Pacific storms that will be driving in some new swell by later this week that will hold into the weekend. That mix of swells is forecast to be followed by some renewed activity in the South Pacific as well as a stronger-looking NPAC storm that has the potential to put some good sized waves on our exposed beaches as we move through the middle of next week. Basically we are going to have a nice run of WNW-NW energy for a few days with some new Southern hemi swell trying to cross things up a little further out. I love fall.

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WNW-NW swell moves in more overnight…look for clean conditions and peaking energy for Monday morning

WNW-NW swell moves in more overnight…look for clean conditions and peaking energy for Monday morning

Monday will be a decent surf days…there may be some occasional funky pockets of fog that will make things a little tricky…but for the most part we will see plenty of new NPAC swell as well as some background SPAC energy helping to cross it up.

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Sunday starts off with a mix of S-SW energy but will have new WNW-NW energy arriving throughout the day

Sunday starts off with a mix of S-SW energy but will have new WNW-NW energy arriving throughout the day

Sunday will be a funky surf day…we do have some new WNW-NW swell moving in that will start to combo with, then surpass, the S-SW swell mix. At the same time winds/weather look unstable with a thicker marine layer, some early onshore winds, and overall cooler beach temps.

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The North Pacific stretches its muscles while the Southern Hemi continues to mellow

The North Pacific stretches its muscles while the Southern Hemi continues to mellow

We will see a string of fun but relatively small size S-SW swells mixing with some progressively stronger WNW-NW pulses as we move through the next several days. For the weekend we will see a mix of overlapping S-SW energy along with some new WNW-NW swell that will help to offer up a few playful waves at the well exposed spots. A stronger WNW-NW swell will start to arrive later in the weekend holding into early next week. Long-range charts are showing a lot more activity in the North Pacific storm track while the South Pacific really stalls out. The tropics aren’t totally done either…while we may not have any current swell coming from that region right now it does look like another system may form up late in the weekend/early next week…keep your fingers crossed that it if it does form that it can make it to our swell window.

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New S-SW and WNW-NW swells start to slowly fill in on Friday but may end up losing the race with the midday high tide

New S-SW and WNW-NW swells start to slowly fill in on Friday but may end up losing the race with the midday high tide

The surf slows down a touch more on Friday but new Southern Hemi swells along with a pickup in WNW-NW energy will help to keep most of the exposed spots playful. Fog still looks likes it will be a problem through the morning, however conditions look clean and our mega high tide moves back enough to open a bit more of a dawn patrol window.

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Tropical swell drops out while new SW swell and WNW-NW energy moves in

Tropical swell drops out while new SW swell and WNW-NW energy moves in

The last of the tropical swell will drain away Thursday morning, but with winds staying light and some other new swells moving in it looks like we will still be able to find some fun waves at the better exposed breaks. Look for a little more fog in the early morning but once it burns off we can expect sunny skies and clean conditions to hang around through midday.

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Playful run of S-SW swells keep us rolling through the week but long range is looking a bit sparse

Playful run of S-SW swells keep us rolling through the week but long range is looking a bit sparse

We will see a nice blend of overlapping Southern Hemi swells along with a little bit of short-period local S-SSW windswell moving up from the ITCZ over the next few days. None of these swells look particularly big, but there will be enough energy in the water to keep the better exposed spots fun and playful at least for the next week or so. Long-range things take a turn for the winter-snooze fest. The Southern Hemi is starting to mellow as we get closer to the seasonal change and the storm track has backed way off. Since our region always manages to pull in some sort of swell I don’t think we are looking at a true flat spell…but I do think the average spots may want to dust off the longboards and get ready for some smaller surf.

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Tropical swell starts to back down on Wednesday but conditions stay clean

Tropical swell starts to back down on Wednesday but conditions stay clean

Wednesday will see a mix of clean but slowly fading surf. The tropical energy from Simon will be on the way down while a couple of other background swells help to keep things from dropping too fast. Conditions are nice (again) but we will have to deal with another big mid-morning high tide that will keep shape slow and soft for a good chunk of the first half of the day.

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Tropical swell sticks around through Tuesday while new SSW-SW swells and WNW-NW energy moves in later this week

Tropical swell sticks around through Tuesday while new SSW-SW swells and WNW-NW energy moves in later this week

The first part of this week has been (and will continue to be) dominated by former Hurricane Simon. He is weakening now just off the coast of Central Baja, but his decent sized tropical energy will stick around through the day on Tuesday and then bail out pretty fast as we move through the middle of the week. Further out it is the North Pacific that looks like it will start to shift gears enough that it becomes a more consistent swell generator, while the South Pacific starts to stall out (typical for this time of year). In fact we have a cluster of storms moving eastward under the Aleutians that may end up being a fairly decent swell maker for this upcoming weekend…now we just need a few of these systems to form up a lot closer to the West Coast to see if we can break this stupid drought…and of course send us waves at the same time.

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