Thursday will see clean but fading surf. The winds and weather will continue to be nice as we move into Thursday but our swell mix will be dropping and we can expect the surf to become smaller and less consistent as we move through the day.
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Thursday will see clean but fading surf. The winds and weather will continue to be nice as we move into Thursday but our swell mix will be dropping and we can expect the surf to become smaller and less consistent as we move through the day.
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Looks like the next week is going to be pretty playful for most of Mainland Mexico and Central America thanks to some zonal storm activity that ended up being not as zonal as the forecast charts thought they would. The surf had been on a bit of a downward trend as we moved through last weekend, but new storms that really pulled together over the last weekend will end up sending us a pretty decent run of overlapping SW swells…one of which will fill in fast starting on Wednesday and then at least another two that will fill in later in the week and over the upcoming weekend. Winds and weather both look good now that Raymond has moved out of the area…could end up being a good chance to score some late season, playful sized waves if you have a little extra flexibility in your schedule.
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The funky onshore flow that has been chopping up many of our beaches will move inland tonight leaving us with light winds for Wednesday morning. We also have new tropical S-SSE swell moving in from Raymond that will help to add some more size and consistency for the better exposed spots.
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We get one more day of cruddy weather and then our surf conditions improve. Tuesday will see the last of the local storm front moving out of the area but the trailing onshore winds will hang around long enough to keep things pretty sloppy. By Wednesday the weather improves and we see a mix of more organized WNW-NW energy, pulse-y SW swell, and a quick hipshot of tropical SSE-S swell from former Hurricane Raymond. These waves will stick around through Thursday and then start to slowly back off as we head toward the upcoming weekend. Long-range charts are showing enough rideable energy sticking around through the weekend to keep things fun and rideable…they are also showing the potential for another shot of WNW-NW swell heading our way for Sunday and on into the following work week.
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UPDATE – If you have been watching Raymond as closely as we have you already know that he has started to unravel…dropping back to Tropical Storm strength over the last several hours. Fortunately he did make the turn northward, toward Southern California, while he was still a small but decently strong Hurricane. I am still expecting to see tropical swell from Raymond despite his weakening…it looks like the initial forecasted sizes are going to come through pretty much where I expected them to.
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Look for poor surf conditions to continue on Tuesday. The passing cold front has increased the onshore SW-WSW winds, which will continue overnight into Tuesday morning. Unfortunately these winds are coming in from the worst direction for Socal since there are practically no breaks that offer up legit protection.
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A quick moving upper level low-pressure if forecast to push into the region late tonight, hook up with some surface conditions, and basically hack apart the surf conditions as we move into Monday morning.
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Hurricane Raymond it back! After several days languishing as a weakening tropical storm Raymond was finally able to slip over nice warm pocket of water…one that has just right mix of humid unstable air and very little existing wind…and is now back to CAT-2 strength
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Forecast Overview Our surf sort of hangs in place on Sunday. We see slightly more WNW energy and slightly less S-SW swell, but the combo spots that did the best with the energy on Saturday will continue to be rideable just shaped a little differently. The Swell Short-medium period WNW-NW swell (285-300) and some S-SW [...]
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Saturday looks like a playful surf day…nothing spectacular…but still with enough energy that if you pick your spot, keep an eye on the tides, and catch the cleaner morning conditions you will be able to pick off a few fun ones.
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