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The funky onshore flow that has been chopping up many of our beaches will move inland tonight leaving us with light winds for Wednesday morning. We also have new tropical S-SSE swell moving in from Raymond that will help to add some more size and consistency for the better exposed spots.
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We get one more day of cruddy weather and then our surf conditions improve. Tuesday will see the last of the local storm front moving out of the area but the trailing onshore winds will hang around long enough to keep things pretty sloppy. By Wednesday the weather improves and we see a mix of more organized WNW-NW energy, pulse-y SW swell, and a quick hipshot of tropical SSE-S swell from former Hurricane Raymond. These waves will stick around through Thursday and then start to slowly back off as we head toward the upcoming weekend. Long-range charts are showing enough rideable energy sticking around through the weekend to keep things fun and rideable…they are also showing the potential for another shot of WNW-NW swell heading our way for Sunday and on into the following work week.
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UPDATE – If you have been watching Raymond as closely as we have you already know that he has started to unravel…dropping back to Tropical Storm strength over the last several hours. Fortunately he did make the turn northward, toward Southern California, while he was still a small but decently strong Hurricane. I am still expecting to see tropical swell from Raymond despite his weakening…it looks like the initial forecasted sizes are going to come through pretty much where I expected them to.
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Look for poor surf conditions to continue on Tuesday. The passing cold front has increased the onshore SW-WSW winds, which will continue overnight into Tuesday morning. Unfortunately these winds are coming in from the worst direction for Socal since there are practically no breaks that offer up legit protection.
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A quick moving upper level low-pressure if forecast to push into the region late tonight, hook up with some surface conditions, and basically hack apart the surf conditions as we move into Monday morning.
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Hurricane Raymond it back! After several days languishing as a weakening tropical storm Raymond was finally able to slip over nice warm pocket of water…one that has just right mix of humid unstable air and very little existing wind…and is now back to CAT-2 strength
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Forecast Overview Our surf sort of hangs in place on Sunday. We see slightly more WNW energy and slightly less S-SW swell, but the combo spots that did the best with the energy on Saturday will continue to be rideable just shaped a little differently. The Swell Short-medium period WNW-NW swell (285-300) and some S-SW [...]
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Saturday looks like a playful surf day…nothing spectacular…but still with enough energy that if you pick your spot, keep an eye on the tides, and catch the cleaner morning conditions you will be able to pick off a few fun ones.
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Our surf will slowly drop off on Friday while morning conditions clean up and overall beach weather improves.
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We will have a run of smaller surf on tap for the next few days as our current blend of WNW/S swell fades away leaving us with weaker, less consistent background energy from both the NW and the SW. Conditions do look like they will return to a warmer Fall pattern…light offshore winds and sunny skies will creep back in as we move through the weekend and into the first part of next week. Longer-range forecast charts are showing increasing activity in the North Pacific, zonal storm traffic in the SPAC, and even an outside chance for a little bit of tropical swell from TS Raymond who eventually wanders into our SE-S swell window.
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