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We will see a slow increase in surf on Thursday along with a nice run of warm offshore morning winds. Look for the S facing beaches to see building sizes as we move through the day, but expect a little inconsistency as the new swells initially get started.
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Our swell from former Cyclone Pam will begin to arrive on Wednesday, mixing with some already fun-size S-SW swell from previous Southern Hemi storms. This new swell will show some very-long period energy on Wednesday, build through Thursday-Friday, and peak late Friday night. The SPAC has a few more swells already lined up to follow in the bigger pulse we see this week…they aren’t quite as big but we can expect decent size all the way through the weekend, early next week, and very likely right on through the start of April. If you are in the region or planning on getting down there expect to get plenty of waves.
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Wednesday looks like a pretty decent surf day…our conditions will settle down a bit leaving more spots with cleaner shape for much of the morning and our swell mix will build up a couple of notches as well helping to push in a few bigger waves.
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Watching the charts and the sudden shifts in the weather this week you can almost hear the Pacific changing gears from the last of winter to a full on springtime conditions. While this shift is suddenly causing some regional wind issues it also has spun up a number of solid looking storms in the South Pacific. Over the next few days we will see some of the new S-SW swell move into Socal just in time to mix with a building blend of local NW windswell and some background WNW-NW energy from storms that have been hanging around Hawaii. The fun really starts later this week as a healthy S swell begins to show with some new long-period energy, this new swell will be building through the end of the week and will eventually peak over the upcoming weekend. Thankfully the storm sending us the bigger swell wasn’t a “one hit wonder” and some additional storms following in its wake will help to extend the life of the new S swell through the end of the month and into the beginning of April.
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Wave heights will be on the rise for Tuesday as some new pulses of WNW-NW swell begin to arrive and mix with some additional S-SSW energy that is hanging in the background. Looks like winds will be manageable for the early morning but still on the unstable side, which means they will likely turn onshore around mid-morning and hamper conditions through much of the day.
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Forecast Overview Monday will have some increasing surf as new energy from both our local waters and the Southern Hemi begins to arrive. Winds look sort of manageable in the early morning but unstable weather will likely cause them to shift onshore a few hours after sunrise. The Swell Monday will have a mix of [...]
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Looks like we will have a rideable weekend on tap…the winds will be a little spotty as our weak ridge of high-pressure starts to break down…but the mornings look fairly manageable for both days. Sizewise we can expect wave heights to hang pretty steady, nothing all that big, but rideable if you can catch it with decent tides and winds.
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The long-range forecast is definitely picking up compared to what we were looking at last week. New storms in both sides of the Pacific are in the process of spinning up, and will very likely have pushed some sort of new swell our direction sometime in the next 5-7 days. Right now it looks like the NPAC is going to generate the quickest short-term increase in surf size as a series of cold fronts try to edge closer to the West Coast…but it is the remnants of Cyclone Pam in the South Pacific that may end up being our biggest surf producer. All in all I am expecting a decent run of both WNW-NW and S-SW energy for the next week+ and then some bigger swells as we get closer to the end of March and into the start of April.
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Foggy and unstable weather are forecast to slip over Southern California on Friday…however it does look like the morning conditions will be manageable for at least a few of the better exposed breaks. Overall surf quality is going to depend a lot on how the localized weather affects each particular break…you will need to stay on top of conditions to find decent surf.
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Our surf will continue to be a little disorganized on Thursday thanks to a slowly moving low-pressure that will work to enhance our already spinning eddy circulation. Our swell will be on the way up but our coastal winds will increase as well, sending in some funky texture to the more exposed areas.
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