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Articles by Adam Wright

Adam has been a professional meteorologist and surf forecaster since 1999 and has worked for many of the popular surf sites including Transworld SURF, Surfline, Wavewatch, and FuelTV. Currently he is the Chief Forecaster for Solspot.com and is responsible for letting us know when we should ditch the computers for either a quick session or epic trip.

Swell mix shifts around while the tide tries to bury another morning session

Swell mix shifts around while the tide tries to bury another morning session

Our surf, while still staying pretty rideable, will downshift a bit on Friday as our W swell shifts from a more power medium-period pulse to short-period WNW-NW windswell. The change in swell direction and the shorter swell-periods will cause wave heights to weaken at the more average spots, but will still leave enough playful sizes at the standouts.

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W swell peaks through Thursday morning…conditions look clean but tides will still be a bit swampy

W swell peaks through Thursday morning…conditions look clean but tides will still be a bit swampy

Thursday will start off with bigger surf thanks to a newly peaking W swell and other various background swells. We will still have a high tide peaking right in the middle of the morning, but we should also have enough swell power in the water than many spots should be able to push through the tide pretty quickly as it starts to back down. Looks like clean conditions for the morning with a slight chance of rain possible later in the day.

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A little run of SW swell keeps the region rideable for a few days

A little run of SW swell keeps the region rideable for a few days

Not a lot going on down in the Mainland Mexico/Central America regions right now. We have been seeing a blend of low-grade storms moving through the South Pacific swell window over the last couple of weeks and only marginal swell has been pushed up our direction. The good news is that while we are getting ever closer to the smaller winter season, we still managed to scrape up enough fetch to get a little SW pulse that will fill in over the next couple of days and peak as we head into the later parts of the week. It won’t be big, but it will at least have enough energy to keep us in the water at the top spots.

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Another tide swamped morning on Wednesday but new fast building W swell fills in as we head toward the 2nd half of the day

Another tide swamped morning on Wednesday but new fast building W swell fills in as we head toward the 2nd half of the day

Wednesday will start off with some slower surf and semi-funky weather conditions. Mostly we will be dealing with some pockets of fog as well as some weak areas of drizzle near Point Conception. We will have a new, stronger W swell moving in through the day but the majority of the energy will be arriving late in the afternoon and peaking overnight into Thursday.

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Close proximity storms boost W swell as we move through the middle of the week more WNW-NW energy lining up out the back

Close proximity storms boost W swell as we move through the middle of the week more WNW-NW energy lining up out the back

The NPAC storm track continued to spin up a few new storms over the weekend, in particular it has a decent sized mid-latitude system hanging a few hundred miles off the West Coast that will be in position to send a decent sized shot of W-WNW swell for later Wednesday into early Thursday. This swell will be followed closely by a number of faster moving storms that track across the higher latitudes, but still manage to maintain some fetch in Socal’s swell window. These following systems will send in some ok sized, but shorter period WNW-NW swells that will keep waves steady into the weekend and likely into early next week as well. Weather and winds will take a little hit as our first storm tries to drag a cold front over the area on Friday and as we head into the weekend, but if things stay on track we will see the return of some offshore winds as we move into Monday-Tuesday of next week.

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WNW swell fades fast on Tuesday while high tide works to shut down the morning session

WNW swell fades fast on Tuesday while high tide works to shut down the morning session

Tuesday ends up being a bit of a transition day. The swell we had peak on Monday will be winding down while some smaller leftover pulses from weaker storms try to keep our surf from totally dropping out. Looks like weather and conditions will continue to be nice in the morning, but with the smaller swell the tides will play an important role in wave count, quality, and shape.

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New little WNW swell mixes with more offshore winds and some background SW swell on Monday

New little WNW swell mixes with more offshore winds and some background SW swell on Monday

Monday will have some playful waves thanks to a new pulse of WNW energy that moves in and mixes with weekend leftovers and some background Southern Hemi energy. The waves will be a little more playful thanks to the steady offshore winds and warming beach temps that will come along with another modest set of Santa Ana conditions.

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Offshore winds crank up while our WNW-NW swell slowly fades out

Offshore winds crank up while our WNW-NW swell slowly fades out

Sunday will see building offshore flow that will gradually increase to Santa Ana style winds and conditions. At the same times the winds begin to gust offshore our WNW-NW swell will be backing down, so while we can expect cleaner conditions on Sunday we should also expect the surf to taper down as well.

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WNW-NW swell holds through Saturday morning

WNW-NW swell holds through Saturday morning

Our newest round of WNW-NW swell will peak overnight, hold through Saturday morning and then start to slowly taper off as we move through the rest of the weekend. Conditions look a little squirrelly for Saturday morning, but winds will remain light enough to keep things rideable.

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WNW-NW swell piles in over the weekend while the NPAC gets ready to send more for next week

WNW-NW swell piles in over the weekend while the NPAC gets ready to send more for next week

The North Pacific continues to pick up in intensity and will be the dominant swell source for Southern California through the upcoming weekend, most of next week, and pretty much all of the activity we have forming up in the long-range charts. The newest round of WNW-NW energy will begin to arrive on Friday, eventually peaking overnight into Saturday and then slowly tapering off early next week. There won’t be much break between swells thanks to a newly arriving mix of NPAC energy that jumps onto the end of the weekend’s swell mix…in fact it will help to keep things rideable for most of next week. Long-range charts are showing a number of storms forming around the Aleutians, but more importantly it has a couple of those storms dropping into a pretty kick-ass location just off the West Coast, which if they can truly form will have some series swell-making potential. Keep your fingers crossed…if everything can stay more or less on track we could be looking at a pretty active second half of November.

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