Decent SSW-SW due to build through the weekend, peaking early next week

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Austin Gendron
(Friday) 3.17.17

Central America and Mainland Mexico Short-Range Surf Forecast

Leftover southern hemi from earlier in the week is overlapped by a better pulse of SSW-SW (205-215) that should build through the weekend, peaking Monday and Tuesday.  Wave heights will settle a little bit through the middle of next as some combination/reinforcing energy arrives from the S-SSW (190-200).  That will be followed by a series of smaller but overlapping SSW (200-215) pulses.  Read more for details.


18 to 19-second SSW (205-215) will start to build over the next 24 hours.  It’s expected to be a slower arrival than some of the more recent systems, steadily increasing in size through the weekend.  It will likely peak with around 3 to 4 feet of deepwater swell Monday and Tuesday.  That should be enough for wave heights to consistently be running waist to head high along the exposed coast, with standouts seeing chest to overhead+ wave heights.  A few deepwater breaks could even see some bigger sets.

As the SSW-SW peaks early next week the next pulse of energy should be showing up from a recent system south of the Pitcairn/Easter Islands a couple days ago.  It was a fairly strong, generating 30+ foot seas, with a good NE trajectory.  As a result we should be receiving a nice extra reinforcing pulse of S-SSW (190-200) on Tuesday.  The swell will build rather quickly, and peak for southerly exposures at around 3-4 feet on Wednesday.  For some deepwater spots (I’m staring at the little bump on the southern portion of Mexico…)  could end up seeing some solid overhead-double overhead waves.  More commonly we’re expecting chest to overhead+ surf for standouts, with a few magnets seeing occasionally bigger sets even.  Surf is expected to decrease a little bit through the end of the week, but the South Pacific Ocean is continuing to show signs of life, stirring up a fairly constant gale stretching from the southern tip of New Zealand all the way to a few hundred miles south of the Pitcairn Is.

A couple of fronts will help push a series of overlapping pulses of SSW (200-215) that will ultimately help keep some playful knee to chest high (maybe bigger) waves for the exposed coast, through next weekend and well into the following week.

Tropical Outlook

No tropical cyclones at this time.

Costa Rica | Nicaragua | El Salvador | Southern Mexico

Long-Range Surf forecast Central America and Mainland Mexico

North Pacific Swell Forecast

North Pacific has been quiet lately.

South Pacific Swell Forecast

Looking out towards the end of the month, the playful but consistent trend of SSW-SW (210-220) is expected to get a little boost from what looks like it could be a solid system brewing SE of New Zealand early next week.

It’s going to take a few days to get to Central America and Mainland Mexico, but around the 30th/31st, we’re expecting to see that long 17 to 18 second swell filling in.  It’s still too early to say how big it will be, but based on the current models it’s probably going to be another waist to head high+, with potential for overhead to overhead+ sets at standouts…. More details though next week.

Looking out beyond that, the models aren’t very reliable, but there is at least one other system showing up with potential to send some energy for the first week of April.  I’m going to hold out on details for this, because there’s still a lot of time for things to change, but its worth keeping an eye on.  Stay tuned.

Next Forecast should be expected on Monday the 20th.

Austin Gendron
Surf Forecaster