Decent surf this week, but things back off again over the weekend

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Austin Gendron
(Monday) 2.5.18

Central America and Mainland Mexico Short-Range Surf Forecast

SSW-SW (210-220) from the weekend eases through Tuesday.  Wednesday we’re looking at new SSW (205-215) filling, building to a peak on Thursday.  That’s around the same time that long-period WNW (295-310) starts to work its way down the Mainland Mexican coast into Central Amer ica.  The mix will ease through next weekend, with another round of small to moderate SSW due for early next week. Read more for details?


SSW-SW (210-220) from the weekend eases through the start of the week.  Then Wednesday we’re expecting the next pulse of fun SSW (205-215) to arrive with periods around 17 to 18 seconds.  The swell should build to a peak at around 3-3.5 feet Thursday/Friday with periods around 15-16 seconds.  It’s a bit more powerful than the previous couple pulses and could result in waist to head high+ surf along the exposed coast.  Standouts could potentially see sets in the head high to overhead+ range.

In addition we’re expecting to see some WNW-NW (295-310) swell energy working its way down the coast through mid week.  Mainland Mex is going to start seeing swell filling in as early as Tuesday at W-NW exposures.  The swell isn’t expected to reach the Central American coast though until Thursday.  Periods should be about 18 to 19 seconds upon arrival building to a 2-4 foot peak (biggest farther north) with periods around 16 to 17 seconds.  For Central America, that peak should come Friday, and linger Saturday.  For standout exposures the swell could mean some set waves in the chest-overhead+ range.  size will ease through the remainder of the weekend.

Southerly swell mix eases through the weekend as well, but new SSW (190-200) is due to fill in for early next week to help maintain small to moderate surf at regional standouts.

Tropical Outlook

Tropics looking quiet for the time being.

Costa Rica | Nicaragua | El Salvador | Southern Mexico

Long-Range Surf forecast Central America and Mainland Mexico

North Pacific Swell Forecast

North Pacific quiets down a little bit.

South Pacific Swell Forecast

Long-range models show a quieter stretch of swell production.

The storm track is starting to look like its going to push north a little bit, but without strong enough high pressure pushing against it, there wont be much fetch to deliver any swell.  You can see above that the bigger fetch is actually aimed southeast towards the southern tip of Chile.  Anyways it’s still a bit far out, but will have to keep an eye on the long-range models for any hopeful shifts.  For the time being though it looks like we’re going to be seeing smaller to moderate surf through the middle of the month.

Next long-range forecast expected for Friday the 9th of February

Austin Gendron
Surf Forecaster