Fun swell mix through the work week

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Austin Gendron
(Monday) 4.23.18

Short Range Surf Forecast Overview

Sorry for the late notice… next forecast will be updated early next week. 

The current S (180-190) swell and some background energy from the WNW-NW.  New long-period S (180-190) swell arrives Wednesday, blending with small WNW-NW working its way around Pt. Conception.  Breezy NW winds are likely to kick up some wind swell for the upcoming weekend.   Read more for details.

Get the live Southern California Buoy Forecast graph here - http://solspot.com/buoy/oceanside-offshore/forecast.

Surfwise the swell mix is likely to ease a little bit Tuesday, settling in the knee to chest high range Wednesday.  Conditions look decent in the mornings, and overall probably going to be a playful couple of days.  New S (180-190) swell is supposed to arrive on Wednesday, and it will build to a 2+ foot peak Friday.

This is another well angled system that originated south of the Pitcairn Islands.  In addition there will be some small background swell from the WNW-NW in the water.  For breaks that can pick up swell from both hemispheres it could mean wave heights running waist to head high, possibly bigger at top spots.  Most average breaks should be in the knee to chest high range though.

As the south swell eases through the weekend, we’re expecting a low pressure system to move onshore.  That’s going to increase the onshore flow.  We’re also expecting some wind swell to perk up ltae Friday and possibly bring a few more knee to chest high waves through the weekend to westerly exposures.  Conditions are expected to be textured, but there could be some fun waves, especially in the mornings at combo breaks.

Here’s what to expect on a day-to-day basis this week:

Monday the 23rd southern hemi starts to ease.   Surf should be running knee to chest high+ along at standouts late in the day

Tuesday the 24th southern hemi continues to relax.  Could be some small long-period WNW-NW starting to trickle in.

Wednesday the 25th keeping an eye on increasing wind swell and long-period WNW-NW as well as some new southern hemi.

Thursday the 26th long-period southern hemi builds.  Wave heights could be running waist to chest high+ at standouts.  Likely to be some small WNW-NW combo too.

Friday the 27th WNW-NW swell mix lingers as S swell peaks.  Wave heights expected to be running waist to head high+

Saturday the 28th southern hemi swell should linger, as WNW-NW wind swell builds.  Conditions not likely to be all that great, but should still be some decent surf at standout combo spots

Sunday the 29th Southern hemi swell lingers as wind swell starts to ease.  Standouts likely to be running waist to chest high+.

Tropical Overview

Nothing in the tropics

Long-Range Surf and Swell Forecast

North Pacific Swell Forecast

Long range forecast for the North Pacific looks quieter for the time being.

South Pacific Swell Forecast

Southenr hemi models are also looking kind of quiet.  There’s one weak system expected to move out from under New Zealand.

Worse than being small, the fetch is in the shadow of Tahiti and French Polynesia.  That means small and spotty swell energy likely showing up ar0und the 5th of May.

Beyond that, there’s only one other notable system and it too is looking pretty weak.  It does have a good angle though, so its worth keeping an eye on.  If everything goes as planned, we should be looking at another round of S-SSW (185-200) for around the 6th/7th.  Stay tuned.

Next long-range forecast expected for Thursday the 26th.  

Austin Gendron
Surf Forecaster