Playful surf through the weekend. Solid SSW due next week

Austin Gendron
(Thursday) 10.12.17

Short Range Surf Forecast Overview

Smaller mix of leftover SSW (195-205) and a blend of SSW-SW (200-220) in the background should mean small to moderate surf at southerly exposures through the weekend.  Bigger news is next week’s SSW (195-205) pulse that arrives Monday.  Another round of solid surf due for the middle of next week basically.  Read more for details.

Get the live Southern California Buoy Forecast graph here - http://solspot.com/buoy/oceanside-offshore/forecast.

Surfwise we’re looking at playful knee to chest high surf through the end of the week and weekend… Conditions look pretty fun, with light variable/offshore winds in the mornings followed by light to moderate onshores in the afternoons.

In addition, there could be some wind swell/swell from the NW at W-NW exposures.  Likely not to exceed knee to waist high through Saturday though.   Basically fun small but playful combo energy through the weekend…

Monday though…. Monday looks like the start of another very good thing.  20+ second forerunners start filling in Monday afternoon, building steadily through Tuesday.  Wave heights are probably going to start picking up with occasional set waves rolling through in the evening.  Tuesday the swell is expected to fill in more and peak mid to late in the day with surf in the chest to overhead+ range at standout south facing breaks.  Wednesday wave heights should hold through the day.  Swell starts to ease a little a little through the end of last week.

Here’s what to expect on a day-to-day basis this week:

Thursday the 11th surf continues in the smaller knee to chest high range.  Onshore winds could pick up a little bit.

Friday the 12th, small ankle to waist high+ surf for most of Southern California a little extra wind swell in the mix.

Saturday the 13th Surf holds with favorable conditions.

Sunday the 14th small surf continues as wind swell eases

Monday the 15th Long period forerunners for the next SSW pulse start to fill in..  Wave heights expected to be waist to head high at standouts in the evening

Tuesday the 16th Surf at southerly exposures continues to build to a peak, with standouts running chest to overhead+

Wednesday the 17th surf expected to hold in the chest to overhead+ range at standouts.

Tropical Overview

Nothing in the tropics

Long-Range Surf and Swell Forecast

North Pacific Swell Forecast

Long range models are looking hopeful, with a strong system developing in the Gulf of Alaska mid-next week. It’s still way to early to call, but it could mean some solid swell from the WNW-NW (290-310) for the end of next week. Stay tuned.

South Pacific Swell Forecast

Following next weeks solid SSW swell, we’re looking at some more energy potentially showing up around the start of the following week

Models have shifted this guy a little more west into a better part of the California swell window. It still is mostly on an eastward track, but the models show the fetch aiming itself north for a period of time, while possibly generating 35+ foot seas. It’s still somewhat early to call, but it could mean some more S (1175-185) for around the 22nd/23rd.

Beyond that, the long-range models are suggesting a pulse of long-period SW (210-220) for around the 26th. That ones a bit harder to call though. More details next week.

Next long-range forecast expected for Monday the 16th. 

Austin Gendron
Surf Forecaster

  • Brian

    Hey Austin, got a general question when the SWs come through do they generally hit Baja first before South OC or do they come in about the same time?

    • http://www.solspot.com AMG

      Hey Brian,
      The S-SSW’s typically end up hitting Baja 6 to 12 hours earlier than Orange County. The wider SW’s from swells in the Tasman Sea (which typically aren’t all that great for Socal in general) can hit more around the same time though.

      • Brian

        Thanks kindly Austin. Very helpful to know