Short Range looks kinda weak. Long range looks better

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Austin Gendron
(Thursday) 5.3.18

Short Range Surf Forecast Overview

Not too much going on this week unfortunately. There’s a small mix of wind swell and SW that will be easing through the end of the week. The wind swell will linger through the weekend. In the background we’re expecting a couple more small pulses of southern hemi energy, but not enough to really bring any notable surf. Models are showing some more SSW (190-200) for the first of next week. Keeping an eye on potentially fun southern hemi for around the middle of the month. Read more for details.

Get the live Southern California Buoy Forecast graph here - http://solspot.com/buoy/oceanside-offshore/forecast.

Surfwise the swell mix is likely to ease a little bit through the end of the week, and that means knee to waist high+ surf backs off to around ankle to waist high. Surf will settle into that ankle to knee high+-waist high range through the weekend.

Early next week we’re going to see small increase in southern hemi as a somewhat inconsistent pulse of SSW (190-200) arrives Monday, and builds to a peak Wednesday. As of right now wave heights are expected to be running knee to waist high along the exposed coast. With some extra wind swell, standouts could see some chest high-chest high+ sets as well.

Here’s what to expect on a day-to-day basis this week:

Thursday the 3rd easing southern hemi and wind swell. Wave heights expected to be knee to waist high+

Friday the 4th smaller ankle to waist high swell mix

Saturday the 5th smaller ankle to waist high swell mix continues

Sunday the 6th smaller ankle to waist high swell mix

Monday the 7th southern hemi starts to arrive. Surf should be running knee to waist high+ along at standouts late in the day

Tuesday the 8th southern hemi continues to build. Standouts could be seeing knee to waist high+ surf possibly chest high at standouts.

Wednesday the 9th keeping an eye on increasing wind swell and long-period WNW-NW as well as some southern hemi peaks.

Tropical Overview

Nothing in the tropics

Long-Range Surf and Swell Forecast

North Pacific Swell Forecast

North Pacific Swell Forecast
Long range forecast for the North Pacific is questionable at best, but it looks like the models are hanging on to some hope.

A couple more low pressure systems one NE of Hawaii the other near the Aleutians are showing potential as swell makers. The system in the mid latitudes west of Southern California looks more likely to be a swell maker though. The fetch is showing potential for 20-25+ foot seas. Although not ideally angled it could mean a longer period of W-WNW (270-290) for mid to late next week. Too early to call at this point, but keeping an eye on it.

South Pacific Swell Forecast

The long-range forecast for the Southern Hemisphere looks promising. Early next week we’re looking at a solid storm taking an almost ideal NE track as it moves towards the Pitcairn Islands.

The way this system is pushing north like that its going to help focus more of the swell energy towards Socal. That means consistent and likely decent swell. As of right now we’re expecting the SSW (195-205) to arrive on the 13th. Wave heights at this point are expected to be running waist to head high+.

Looking further out there could be a couple more SSW-SW (210-220) pulses arriving around the 17th/18th with very long periods. It’s still way too early to call, but I’ll keep an eye on it and report more early next week. Stay tuned.

Next long-range forecast expected for Monday the 7th..  

Austin Gendron
Surf Forecaster