Smaller background swell due through the weekend and early next week

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Austin Gendron
(Thursday) 11.16.17

Short Range Surf Forecast Overview

The run of small overlapping SSW (190-200) continues through the weekend.  That should mean we’ll continue to see smaller surf at southerly breaks for a few more days.  Surf starts to taper a little more through the first half of the week.  Keeping an eye on potential westerly swell due late next week.  Read more for details.

Get the live Southern California Buoy Forecast graph here - http://solspot.com/buoy/oceanside-offshore/forecast.

I forgot to mention we could be looking at some rain Thursday night as a storm washes over California.  Unfortunately its not going to be bringing much surf from the WNW-NW.  Instead we’re expecting another small overlapping SSW-SW swell to help maintain knee to chest high surf at standouts.

We’re expecting the surf to peak late Friday, and then ease more through the end of the weekend.  Smaller surf through early next week.

We’re looking at the next system arriving likely Monday. It’s got potential to be another wet one. Tapping into the Pineapple Express. Winds are going to be west-southwest though, adding some W wind swell/swell mix to combine with smaller background swell from the southern hemisphere.  Wave heights aren’t expected to exceed knee to chest high at this point, but we’ll have to wait and see how things play out.

Here’s what to expect on a day-to-day basis this week:

Thursday the 16th southerly Surf is expected to hold in the knee to waist high+ range at standouts.  Watch for rain late for northern counties.

Friday the 17th, Southerly facing spots could see more overlapping S-SSW.  Surf could peak around knee to chest high+.

Saturday the 18th Small southerly swell lingers.

Sunday the 19th southerly swell starts to fade.

Monday the 20th easing southerly swell mix could mean knee to chest high+ surf at standouts

Tuesday the 21st Surf at southerly exposures continues to bring small but fun surf to the region as NW energy eases.  Standouts should be seeing knee to waist high waves

Wednesday the 22nd watching for westerly energy to possibly show.  SSW lingers.  Could mean some knee to waist high.

Tropical Overview

Nothing in the tropics

Long-Range Surf and Swell Forecast

North Pacific Swell Forecast

Thanksgiving weekend is looking dry. We’re keeping an eye on a big cut off low north of Hawaii. As of right now its not looking all that promising (for us… Hawaii is a different story). I’ll have more updates for you early next week.

South Pacific Swell Forecast

The South Pacific looks like its starting to go into hibernation. There’s still some activity down there, but the storm track is looking mostly zonal. That means smaller inconsistent swell energy… and in this case from the SSW-SW (200-210) for around the 29th. Stay tuned.

Next long-range forecast expected for Monday the 20th. 

Austin Gendron
Surf Forecaster