Southern hemi swell eases a little, with some questionable NW combo due midweek

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Austin Gendron
(Monday) 11.13.17

Short Range Surf Forecast Overview

Overlapping SSW (190-200) should help maintain some small to moderate surf at southerly breaks through the first half of the week.  In the mix will be some small wind swell and some NW energy from a gulf low.  Read more for details.

Get the live Southern California Buoy Forecast graph here - http://solspot.com/buoy/oceanside-offshore/forecast.

Fun overlapping southern hemi is going to help maintain knee to chest high+ waves at standout southerly exposures through midweek.  A little NW wind swell could mean some weak combo at exposed breaks, but for the most part W-NW exposures are looking pretty small through the start of the week.

After the southern hemi fades a little more, we are looking at some potentially interesting NW (300+) energy arriving midweek.  The models are showing the long wave trough in the Gulf of Alaska is going to stick around for a few days, while a series of lows rotate through it. That’s going to set up a fairly consistent fetch in the Gulf of Alaska.

Similar to the last couple Pacific storms, it looks like we’re going to potentially see at least a little bit of the swell wrapping into Southern California.  At this point it’s pretty hard to say how much, but likely at least some knee to chest high waves at standout W-NW exposures.  The swell mix will ease more through the end of the week and weekend. 

Here’s what to expect on a day-to-day basis this week:

Monday the 13th easing southerly swell mix could mean knee to chest high+ surf at standouts

Tuesday the 14th Surf at southerly exposures continues to bring small but fun surf to the region as NW energy eases.  Standouts should be seeing knee to chest high waves

Wednesday the 15th watching for NW energy to possibly return.  SSW lingers.  Could mean some knee to waist high+.

Thursday the 16th southerly Surf is expected to hold in the knee to waist high+ range at standouts.

Friday the 17th, Southerly facing spots could see more overlapping S-SSW

Saturday the 18th Small southerly swell sticks around.

Sunday the 19th southerly swell starts to fade.

Tropical Overview

Nothing in the tropics

Long-Range Surf and Swell Forecast

North Pacific Swell Forecast

Long-range models are showing a brief lull in the swell action early next weekend, but then another storm in the Gulf of Alaska is expected to parts itself in swell making mode.  It’s way too early to make a call, but I’ll keep an eye on things and have updates for you later in the week.

South Pacific Swell Forecast

Long-range forecast for the South Pacific is looking mostly quiet.  There could be some very small background energy arriving the week of thanksgiving, but doesn’t look like its going to be all that noticeable.

Next long-range forecast expected for Thursday the 16th. 

Austin Gendron
Surf Forecaster