Southern hemi’s start building late in the week.

1 Comment
Austin Gendron
(Tuesday) 4.23.19

Short Range Surf Forecast Overview

The charts have been miserably small lately, but it looks like we could be looking at an increase in surf come later in the week as new southern hemi swell starts to fill in from the S-SSW (200-215) starting Thursday.  More energy adds to the small mix on Friday and Saturday.  More excitingly is going to be a larger pulse arriving Sunday/Monday that could help push surf up into the moderate size range for the first half of next week.  Surf is likely to linger through the end of the week before backing off again for a period of time.  Read more for details.

Get the live Southern California Buoy Forecast graph here - http://solspot.com/buoy/oceanside-offshore/forecast.

Surfwise, not a whole lot of excitement through the first half the week.  Wave heights are currently running knee to waist high for most southerly exposures as the southerly swell mix lingers.  Size will taper over the next couple days, with fairly weak tide movement and light to moderate onshore winds in the afternoons.

The southern hemi may die off Wednesday, but it looks like we could see another increase in SSW-SW (190-215) starting as soon as Thursday.  The swell mix will build slowly, with the initial energy coming from a more SW (205-215) angle.  It’ll be small Thursday and Friday, mostly knee to waist high+ surf, picking up a little more Saturday.  Sunday and Monday we’re expecting two slightly bigger and more SSW (195-205) angled pulses to arrive with periods in the 16 to 18 second range.  That all means the surf could increase into the waist to head high range for the first half of next week.

Here’s what to expect on a day-to-day basis this week:

Wednesday the 24th small southern hemi lingers in the ankle to waist high range.

Thursday the 25th swell mix starts to arrive slowly a little bit while light to moderate onshore conditions continue in the afternoon. Wave heights could perk up a little, but tide is looking a little high.

Friday the 26th smaller day still, but building swell means knee to potentially waist high+ at standouts.

Saturday the 27th Smaller southern hemi but still building.  Wave heights could be in the knee to chest high range.

Sunday the 28th knee to chest high surf at standout as more southerly hemi arrives.  There could be some bigger sets in the chest to head high range at magnets, conditions look best in the morning.  Bigger size late.

Monday the 29th southern hemi mix could mean waist to head high surf, possibly a little bigger at top exposures.

Tuesday the 30th the peak of the southern hemi should hold with waist to head high surf at standouts.

Tropical Overview

No tropical cyclones at this time

Long-Range Surf and Swell Forecast

North Pacific Swell Forecast

Long range models for the North Pacific looking mostly quiet, as we head into the slow season for the Northern Hemisphere.

South Pacific Swell Forecast

The South Pacific isn’t looking all that great right now either.

There’s still a little bit of a bump in the jet stream sough of the Pitcairn Islands, but the storms aren’t looking very strong, and therefore will likely just prolong the presence of next weeks swell as it lingers into the weekend, rather than provide any noticable pulses in energy.  Aside from that, there is a system near Tasmania that could generate some small and inconsistent SW (220-230) for around the start of week two in may, but those swells typically don’t amount to much for most of the region.  Stay tuned.

I do apologize for the inconsistent reports.  I’ve mentioned before that I am currently not writing them on a regular cadence do to other obligations that require my time.  I’ll be trying to keep an eye on more notable swells and reporting on them as they become relevant.  Again, I apologize.

Austin Gendron

Surf Forecaster


  • Bradford Fassett

    Austin, where your patron account? I’ll contribute for a forecast.