SSW swell peaks Tuesday and Wednesday then eases through the weekend

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Austin Gendron
(Monday) 7.23.18

Short Range Surf Forecast Overview

Solid SSW (195-205) in the water this week, with surf likely peaking late Tuesday into Wednesday before slowly backing off through the end of the work week.  Size will continue to trail off through the start of next week.  Aside from that and the ungodly heat we’re experiencing right now, there could be some wind swell mixing in over the next few days as well.  Read more for details.

Get the live Southern California Buoy Forecast graph here - http://solspot.com/buoy/oceanside-offshore/forecast.

SSW (195-205) started building Monday from a system that produced 35-40 foot seas south of French Polynesia early last week.  The angle and duration of the fetch was very conducive to sending a consistent and solid sized swell to Socal.  The swell began building earlier Monday, and is currently running waist to head high+, with larger sets at standouts.  Size is expected to continue building to a peak late Tuesday/early Wednesday.

We’re expecting 4+ feet of deepwater swell with periods around 17 to 18+ seconds.  That’s going to mean wave heights in the chest to overhead+ range along the exposed coast, with standouts seeing sets in the head high to well overhead+ range.  It looks like the swell will settle and linger shifting more to the S (180-195) through the end of the work week.  We’re not expecting any additional swell through the weekend or early next week though, so wave heights are going to continue to decline.

Aside from the solid SSW in the water we’re expecting warm weather this week thanks to building high pressure.  Hottest days this week are expected to be Tuesday and Wednesday, and they could be record breaking for some areas.  Muggy warm temperatures at the beaches, but not as hot as inland areas.  Monsoon moisture returns for the weekend as the temperatures ease a little bit.

Here’s what to expect on a day-to-day basis this week:

Monday the 23rd new SSW arrives, building wave heights into the waist to head high range in the morning, possibly chest to overhead+ at standouts late.

Tuesday the 24th SSW builds to a peak in the chest to overhead+ range along the exposed coast, with head high to well overhead surf at standouts.

Wednesday the 25th SSW swell holds its peak, with wave heights in the head high to well overhead

Thursday the 26th SSW starts to settle into the chest to overhead+ range.

Friday the 27th wave heights continue to ease as into the chest to head high+ range as temperatures cool off a little bit

Saturday the 28th surf continues to ease, wave heights likely to be in the knee to chest high+ range.

Sunday the 29th SSW continues to ease, into the knee to waist high range.

Tropical Overview

Not a whole lot going on in the tropics

Global models aren’t looking too promising either.

Long-Range Surf and Swell Forecast

North Pacific Swell Forecast

North Pacific Swell Forecast is looking quieter for the time being

South Pacific Swell Forecast

Long-range shows potential for new swell the first week of August from the SW (210-220)…

There’s a bit of an issue though because that swell has to make its way past Tahiti and the other French Polynesian islands.  So there wont be much that gets through.  Still too early to call, but i’d expect some new SW arriving around the 5th/6th.  It’s going to be very inconsistent and quite a bit smaller than teh current swell we’re seeing still.

Austin Gendron
Surf Forecaster