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More WNW-NW swell moves in on Tuesday, bigger waves on tap for the exposed beaches, tides and weather will make the morning funky

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Adam Wright
by
(Monday) 10.20.14

Forecast Overview

A better aimed and more consistent pulse of WNW-NW energy arrives on Tuesday right on time to mix with a cold front slowly pushing over the area. Conditions still look good for most beaches but there will be instability to our coastal winds that may add in some texture earlier than we would want. High tides are still going to be an issue as we push through mid-morning so pick your spots accordingly.

The Swell

More WNW-NW swell (280-300) fills in overnight and holds steady through Tuesday. This will mix with a blend of leftover WNW swell from the weekend and some background S-SW energy that continues to leak up from the South Pacific.

The Surf

This morning high tide stuff is a drag…we have had fun swell in the water the last couple of days but the swampthing in the morning has been strangling our waves for the cleanest part of the morning. Unfortunately it looks like similar conditions show up again on Tuesday…about the only real difference is that there is more swell and a slightly better swell direction, which should help more energy make it to the beach and hopefully help set up some rideable lines at the less sensitive spots as the tide peaks. Right now I am expecting most exposed spots to see surf in the waist-chest high range with some shoulder high sets slipping through despite the high tide…though the we can expect some faster shape and more consistency as the tide drops. The standout NW facing spots and excellent combo breaks will have chest-shoulder high surf with some head high and even head high+ sets showing on the better parts of the tide swing. I do expect a few random bigger sets even on top of those, but conditions and winds will have to be helping the shape (rather than working against it).

Get more details on how this swell will affect your favorite spots in the Surf Region Forecasts:


The Weather

Partly cloudy skies and patchy fog start off the morning but this will burn off to mostly sunny skies by the afternoon. Look for winds to be mostly calm to light/variable with 2-3 knot speeds for much of our region. A few of the more exposed beaches will have some stronger onshore flow, or at least will see some build in earlier in the day, but overall it looks pretty manageable. Watch for afternoon winds to turn onshore out of the W-WNW around 10-15 knots.

The Skinny

More swell with still decent conditions will be a nice way to start the day on Tuesday. About the only real downer will be the 5’+ high tide that peaks right around 8am. The high tide peak will slow down shape and even shave some size off of the more sensitive spots. With daylight getting shorter and shorter I am not sure how much of a surf window we will have during the dawn patrol…a few of the better high tide spots will be workable but many of the more average breaks will get swamped out…if you can I would plan on sticking with breaks that like the swell mix, can handle the tides, and even have a little bit of wind protection…but honestly the swell direction and tide sensitivity will be the most important traits for most of us. Again you might be able to wait out the high tide, but now that it is moving further back in the day you will really run the risk of conditions getting sloppy before the tide can back down.

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