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Posts Tagged ‘Surf’

SW swells continue to stack up in the South Pacific but the tropics look like they may rage over the next week

SW swells continue to stack up in the South Pacific but the tropics look like they may rage over the next week

We have all kinds of swell getting thrown around in the Central America/Mexico regions over the next week. There are a number of modest S and SW swells that are basically stacked up and ready to keep the whole region in playful, if somewhat inconsistent surf for the rest of the week and beyond. The really exciting stuff will be happening a lot closer to home…currently the EPAC tropics have two tropical storms (Karina and Lowell) that will be doing a good job pushing surf into the exposed spots of Baja…however later in the week it looks like we are going to get yet another tropical system forming up off the coast of Central/Southern Mainland Mexico. If this third system can form in the right place, and keep far enough off of land, we could be looking at bigger waves arriving as the storm slowly moves through the region.

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The SPAC continues to pump out summer swells…look for overlapping S-SW energy to send in more playful waves

The SPAC continues to pump out summer swells…look for overlapping S-SW energy to send in more playful waves

While the current round of S-SSW-SW swell hitting Mainland Mexico and Central America aren’t massive, they are consistent and thanks to newly arriving energy will easily continue through the end of the week and likely right on up to the end of August. Long-range charts are showing a little gap in our swell production, but as we actually get closer to real-time it looks like it will be less of a problem thanks to some newer, better positioned, developing storms. The local tropics look like they may see something brew up in the next few days as well…it is closer to Mainland Mex than the last several tropical storms/hurricanes, but it will still be moving out of the region at a good clip so we may only see some limited energy before it gets too far away from the coast.

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Solid swell will slowly back down but new pulses will keep our surf healthy through the weekend

Solid swell will slowly back down but new pulses will keep our surf healthy through the weekend

We have a nice sized SSW-SW swell peaking throughout the Mainland Mexico and Central America regions right now. The current energy will start to slowly taper off as we move through the next couple of days, however new shots of both SSW and SW swell will arrive through the week and the upcoming weekend that will slow down how fast the current swell drops and help keep plenty of rideable/healthy sized waves showing through the upcoming weekend and likely into early next week as well.

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New S-SSW swell, both tropical and Southern Hemi swell help drive up wave heights on Monday.

New S-SSW swell, both tropical and Southern Hemi swell help drive up wave heights on Monday.

Monday will be a decent surf day. Our SPAC swell and the new tropical energy (from Hurricane Iselle) will be adding some bigger waves to the well exposed beaches while morning winds remain light. There will still be some humid, even remnant subtropical drizzle, but expect it to become a bit drier as we move into the afternoon

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If you can survive the weekend you’re in for a big week

If you can survive the weekend you’re in for a big week

Central America and Mainland Mexico Short-Range Surf Forecast A couple more days of smaller surf before we see this new SSW-SW (200-220) start pumping.  No exaggeration there either, it could get big for a few days. http://solspot.com/buoy/mainland-mexico/forecast The weekend start off with lingering SW swell (215-225) and some new long-period energy from the SSW-SW (210-220) [...]

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New SW swells slowly drive up surf through the week, but bigger waves are setting up for early next week

New SW swells slowly drive up surf through the week, but bigger waves are setting up for early next week

The SPAC, while not completely quiet, has been a little slow the last few days…fortunately new storm activity is starting to pull together right in the middle of the Mainland Mexico and Central America SSW-SW swell window. We can expect some smaller, initial swells to begin to arrive over the next several days, slowly driving up the wave heights at the exposed spots. An even bigger storm is forecast to develop as we move through mid-week…this will help set up a good-sized bump of new SSW-SW swell for late this weekend and early next week. There is plenty more activity out the back as well…so expect healthy wave sizes as we move toward the middle of August.

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Incoming S-SW swells help to drive wave heights back up as we head toward the weekend

Incoming S-SW swells help to drive wave heights back up as we head toward the weekend

We have a whole crazy mix of incoming SSE-S-SSW swells on the way…many of which will start to arrive as we move through the rest of the week and over the upcoming weekend. While the first pulses aren’t all that strong there are enough of them in the water that we will see some fairly consistent, but playfully sized waves for the next several days. Stronger pulses will start to arrive late in the work week and will likely continue to peak and hold over the upcoming weekend. Again these aren’t the strongest looking swells we have had this summer, but there is enough energy being shotgunned at the region that we can expect plenty of rideable waves for the next week or so…

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Mix of S and SW swells keep the better Mainland Mexico and Central American spots rideable

Mix of S and SW swells keep the better Mainland Mexico and Central American spots rideable

Compared to the activity we saw at the end of June (the storms that produced the mega July swell) the South Pacific feels like someone has hit the mute button, or at least turned the volume waaaaay down. There are still a number of storms moving through the swell window for both Mexico and Central America, but in general they are smaller, aren’t sticking around as long, and are not positioned all that well. Still, there has been enough fetch to set up a number of modest sized S and SW swells that will be moving in over the next week and will help to keep the region in playful surf as we head toward the end of the month.

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The big swell is winding down but plenty of playful sized S-SW pulses keep us riding through July

The big swell is winding down but plenty of playful sized S-SW pulses keep us riding through July

The larger S-SSW swell is on the way down…it still has a lot of energy in the water but it is quite a bit smaller than what we were seeing over the last weekend. Over the next few days we can expect the trailing end of this S-SSW’er to continue to back down, dropping us into more playful sizes…however we won’t see things go totally flat…there are a number of new modest sized S, SSW, and SW swells on the way that will keep the surf consistent and even push wave heights back up into the overhead range as we head toward the middle of the month.

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Big S-SSW swells move into Central America and Mainland Mexico over the next several days…look for a long run of large waves

Big S-SSW swells move into Central America and Mainland Mexico over the next several days…look for a long run of large waves

Thanks to a very active South Pacific we have a number of new S-SSW swells moving into the region over the next several days. The first pulse will start filling in with some long-period energy on Wednesday and we can expect larger, more consistent, swells to follow closely on its heels. Basically we are looking at least 5-6 days of well-overhead to double-overhead+ surf for many spots and some even bigger bombs hitting the deepwater standout breaks. Weatherwise most of the region is pretty much in wet-season mode…but Central Mexico has Tropical Storm Elida sitting and spinning about 100 miles off the coast…fortunately for that region the storm will be weakening and moving away from land just in time for these S-SSW Southern Hemi swells to arrive.

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