I apologize for the absence, I had a family emergency on Easter Sunday and have been with out a computer for the past few days. I’m back now though and it looks like most areas should be seeing some solid surf through the end of the week. The SSW-SW (205-215) will peak Friday and then ease slowly through the weekend. A smaller SSW (195-205) pulse arrives on Monday, and should help maintain at least some playful surf through the first half of next week. Long-range models show another round of solid SSW-SW (210-220) arriving next Friday/Saturday. Read more for details.
The next solid SSW-SW (205-215) arrived Wednesday/Thursday, and is looking pretty solid. It should build to a 4 to 5 foot peak on Friday, bringing chest to overhead+ surf along the exposed coast, with standouts in the head high to well overhead range. Deepwater spots like Puerto Escondido, could see bigger sets going double overhead or a little bigger even. Surf peaks Friday, and will likely hold some size through most of the weekend.
The next pulse of energy arrives from a more southerly (195-205) angle on Monday, and will overlap the leftover energy from the weekend, building to a combined peak around 3 to 4 feet Tuesday/Wednesday. For most areas this will simply help maintain waist to head high+ surf. A few standouts and deepwater breaks could be seeing set waves going overhead to a couple feet overhead still. Size will start to relax again around mid-next week.
No tropical cyclones at this time.
North Pacific isn’t showing much of anything.
South Pacific Swell Forecast
Looking further out, the models continue to show a couple working their way into the South Pacific near New Zealand currently. Their is a deep trough that is allowing these systems to climb northward focusing a decent amount of their energy towards Central America and Mainland Mexico.
These two fronts although they look far apart are going to actually arrive around the same time. The second larger and stronger storm is going to produce longer period swell, and the low is going to climb northeast fairly quickly over the next couple of days.
Basically that second front is going to be able to catch up to the first, and the swells will likely merge. That means we could be looking at some decent moderate to plus sized surf arriving early next weekend. It’s hard to say exactly how big it will be, but I’m expecting at least chest to overhead+ surf at standouts that can pick up SSW-SW (205-220) swells.
Beyond that the models show a few more lows rotating through the trough as it passes south of Easter Island late next week. It’s way too early to call, but we could be seeing a few more S-SSW (180-200) pulses of swell arriving for the first week of May. Stay tuned.
Next Forecast should be expected on Tuesday the 25th.