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Austin Gendron
by
(Monday) 3.20.17

Fun overlapping SSW pulses continue through the week

Central America and Mainland Mexico Short-Range Surf Forecast

SSW-SW (205-215) should continue to hold its peak through Tuesday, then slowly start to ease a little bit Wednesday.  On Thursday we’re expecting reinforcing energy from the S-SSW (190-200) to show up.  Surf will steadily build to another moderate sized peak over the weekend.  Long-range forecast models suggest more SSW-SW (200-215) pulses next week.  Read more for details.

http://solspot.com/southern-mexico-7-day-detailed-swell-forecast/

Not a whole lot new to report in the short range part of the forecast.  The current run of SSW (205-215) should hold its peak with wave heights running waist to head high along the exposed coast, with standouts seeing chest to overhead+ wave heights.  Wednesday might be a little funky, with the swell easing, but also some inconsistent S-SSW (190-200) throwing in a few a set waves still in the chest to overhead range at standouts.  It’s possible that there could be larger sets at standouts the next couple of days.  Size will back off a little bit on Thursday though.

Surf wont be down for long though, a couple more systems south of the Pitcairn Islands, French Polynesia/Tahiti and out near New Zealand are going to send a handful of small pulses from the  SSW-SW (190-215).  The first (more southerly) pulse is due to arrive Thursday.  As more SSW-SW energy adds on through the end of the week and weekend, we should see wave heights building back into the waist to head high+ range with standouts potentially seeing some overhead-overhead+ set waves.  The swell should linger through at least the first half of next week.

Tropical Outlook

No tropical cyclones at this time.

Costa Rica | Nicaragua | El Salvador | Southern Mexico

Long-Range Surf forecast Central America and Mainland Mexico

North Pacific Swell Forecast

North Pacific has been quiet lately.

South Pacific Swell Forecast

So after a few days of weaker but playful surf, it looks like we should see our next decent pulse of long-period swell arriving the following weekend.  A fairly strong system is expected to emerge from beneath New Zealand on Thursday, and push ENE, strengthening to the point where it could generate 35+ foot seas, mostly aimed in the right direction too.

Models have sped up a little bit for this one.  Originally it was expected to arrive around the 5th, but its now increased in size and moved faster.  It’s still too early to say how big it will be, but based on the current models it’s probably going to be another waist to head high+, with potential for overhead to overhead+ sets at standouts.


Overall, the good news is that the models have remained fairly consistent, and that we’re starting to see more regular pulses of southern hemi swell starting to bring fun surf to the region.  For anyone looking to book a trip, not a bad time of the year to do it.  I’ll have more updates later in the week on what’s going on.  Stay tuned.

Next Forecast should be expected on Friday the 24th.

Austin Gendron
austin@solspot.com
Surf Forecaster
http://www.solspot.com/